Friday, 15 August 2014

25% off my Lulu books

until the end of 18th August with this code:

TWODAY14

It's an even better deal than the last one. I doubt you'll get a better - take the plunge and buy Porter! or Numbers!

Barclay Perkins Bookstore

Offline in Newark

I've been offline for a few days while visiting my brother. His is one of the three remaining houses in Europe without an internet connection.

It was interesting to watch my kids cope. Of course, having smart phones, they weren't as offline as me. The three drillion TV channels my brother receives went some way to mitigate the lack of wifi.

"Why is Dutch television so crap?" Lexie asked me.

"Because the government hate us." Though really it's UPC's fault.


The net-free days taught me something: that I waste a lot of time pissing around on the web to no great purpose. Following idiotic forum discussions. And don't get me started on social media. Mostly just time-occupying bollocks. It was relaxing to read a newspaper and watch TV with the kids instead. And visit the odd pub, let's not forget that. Not much point in going to Britian if you're not going to down a few pints.

Now I only visit once a year, the changes to Newark are all that more obvious. Some are incomprehensible. Like the axing of all buses after 6 PM. Or the ten houses they're managing to cram onto the car park of the former Turks Head. Others pretty neutral: the arrival of a Pound Pub or the Crown and Mitre becoming the Flying Circus. Even ggo ones, like the Horse and Gears reopening as a Blue Monkey pub.

Best is that now both kids are over fifteen, I can take them into pretty much any pub during the day. Makes my life easier and means there are options other than Wetherspoons. Not that there's anything wrong with Wetherspoons. It's just nice to have more options.

An afternoon pub-crawling around Nottingham highlighted the change in the British beer scene. Or more accurately Britain's pub scene. BEcause it's there thingts have changed the most. The pubs we hit made this very obvious. But I'll be writing about that in more detail later. Here's something to ponder. The best beer I had the whole trip was served in the most old-fashioned pub.

Best of all, it was dead easy to avoid that craft keg shit and drink proper, low-carbonated, full-flavoured cask beer. And cask beer of all sorts. Despite what the more doctrinaire and destructive end of the crafterati might hope, cask beer is holding its own. Even in the modern, trendy sorts of places. Lots of handpulls and plenty of beer in decent nick.

Away from the pub there was lots to drink. Henry, a schoolfriend who plans on opening a brewery, brought me a crate of various homebrewed beers. Pretty well all from historic recipes of mine. Good stuff, though I couldn't manage to get through it all.

Anyway, I'll be boring the kecks off you for a few days with my holiday tales of little import. Then it'll be back to the numbers.

Thursday, 14 August 2014

Wenlock Porter quality 1922 - 1923

We're very nearly done. Just Whitbread to go after this. When did I start this series? It seems like several lifetimes ago.

In keeping with tradition, I'll start with some random shit about the brewery. It's an example of how the same news can be interpreted very differently. First, the pessimistic view:

"WENLOCK'S LOW EARNINGS.
A sharp decline in profits was experienced during the past year by the Wenlock Brewery Co., but earnings are still ample for the maintenance of the dividend reserve allocation and the carry forward. Net profit totals £109,343, as compared with £122,047 last year, and the ordinary dividend is again to be 17.5 per cent. Reserves again receive £50,000, and the carry forward is from £118,266 to £126,359."
Derby Daily Telegraph - Monday 09 December 1929, page 9.

Now it's the turn of the optimist:

"Good Brewery Share.
A big expansion has taken place in the business of the Wenlock Brewery Company in recent years. 1918 a capital bonus of 10 per cent, in War Bonds was distributed, and in the following year shareholders received a capital bonus of 25 per cent, in Ordinary shares. A dividend of 10 per cent., tax free, was paid down to 1926. For 1927 the rate was raised to 15 per cent., and for the past two years the distribution has been 17.5 per cent., tax free. In respect of the year to October 31 last net profit amounted to £109,344. The earnings on the £250,000 of Ordinary capital in issue were over 40 per cent. In each of the past five years £50,000 has been allocated to reserves, which now total £475,000. As the company's assets stand at £1,734,425. compared with share and debenture capital of £674,890, its great financial strength is apparent. The Ordinary £1 shares at 80s are an attractive investment."
Dundee Courier - Friday 18 July 1930, page 2.

I side with the optimist. Earnings were only down 10% compared to 1928. Considering what a disastrous year 1929 was for the world economy, I don't think they were doing badly at all. Wenlock performed pretty well all through the 1920's, with reasonable profits and good dividends. Take a look at an overview:

Wenlock Brewery profits and dividends 1920 - 1929
Year net profit brought in carried forward dividend Ordinary shares to reserve
1920 £46,882 £16,569 £14,382 10%
1921 10%
1922 10%
1923 £62,365 £36,478 10% £15,000
1924 £72,105 £36,478 £51,083 10% £25,000
1925 £84,198 £51,083 £52,731 10% £50,000
1926 £112,986 £52,731 £83,267 10% £50,000
1927 £119,201 £83,267 £97,469 15% £50,000
1928 £122,047 £97,469 £118,266 17.5% £50,000
1929 £109,343 £118,266 £126,359 17.5% £50,000
Sources:
Gloucester Citizen - Wednesday 22 December 1920, page 6.
Aberdeen Journal - Wednesday 10 December 1924, page 11.
Dundee Courier - Wednesday 10 December 1924, page 2.
Aberdeen Journal - Tuesday 08 December 1925, page 11.
Western Daily Press - Wednesday 08 December 1926, page 10.
Aberdeen Journal - Wednesday 07 December 1927, page 10.
Dundee Courier - Thursday 06 December 1928, page 2.
Dundee Courier - Friday 18 July 1930, page 2.


Now we're done with the boring financial stuff, let's get on with the main business: looking at dodgy Porter. Though first I'll tediously review Wenlock's performance so far. Their Mild performed well, finishing third of seventeen and averaging 1.17. A mid table seventh of fourteen was all their Burton could manage, though it did still average 1. So far their Pale Ale has been the most disappointing, coming ninth of fifteen and averaging just 0.09.

Wenlock's Porter is one of the weakest, averaging less than 3% ABV. The rate of attenuation is also poor, several points below the average. But none of that tells us much about the Porter's quality.

The big question now is: how dodgy is their Porter?

Wenlock Porter quality 1922 - 1923
Year Beer FG OG ABV App. Atten-uation Flavour score Price
1922 Porter 1015.6 1034.1 2.38 54.25% fair 1 6d
1922 Porter 1007.6 1033.6 3.37 77.38% quite sour -2 6d
1922 Porter 1008.5 1035 3.44 75.71% v poor -2 6d
1922 Porter 1010 1034.5 3.17 71.01% v poor -2 6d
1923 Porter 1015.2 1035.2 2.58 56.82% fair 1 6d
1923 Porter 1011.4 1033.9 2.91 66.37% good 2 6d
1923 Porter 1011 1033 2.84 66.67% poor -1 5d
1923 Porter 1011 1034.5 3.04 68.12% thin -2 6d
1923 Porter 1011.8 1034.8 2.97 66.09% v fair 2 6d
Average  1011.3 1034.3 2.97 66.94% -0.33
Source:
Whitbread Gravity book held at the London Metropolitan Archives, document number LMA/4453/D/02/001

Pretty dodgy. Less than half the samples - four of nine - get a positive score. And there are 4 scores of -2. On the upside, two examples scored +2. The scores average out to a disappointing -0.33.

My advice to time travellers is my favourite: drink Mild! (In Wenlock pubs.)

Wednesday, 13 August 2014

Change in Beer production in the German customs area 1872 - 1881

If the title didn't put you off, all I can say is: you're my perfect reader.

I'd planned pointing out all sorts of clever stuff. Then I thought: you're not stupid. You can see it for yourself. Why should I condescendingly lead you by the hand?

Change in Beer production in the German customs area 1872 - 1881
Year Reichssteuergebiet Bayern Württemberg
hl % change hl % change hl % change
1872 16,102,179 10,905,836 4,197,274
1873 19,654,903 22.06% 11,256,208 3.21% 3,995,056 -4.82%
1874 20,494,914 4.27% 12,079,760 7.32% 3,596,144 -9.99%
1875 21,358,228 4.21% 12,084,910 0.04% 3,662,418 1.84%
1876 20,873,379 -2.27% 12,347,153 2.17% 3,879,006 5.91%
1877/78 20,360,491 -2.46% 12,205,377 -1.15% 3,801,519 -2.00%
1878/79 20,371,925 0.06% 12,122,483 -0.68% 3,067,305 -19.31%
1879/80 19,984,613 -1.90% 12,152,532 0.25% 3,172,634 3.43%
1880/81 21,136,031 5.76% 11,821,915 -2.72% 3,396,292 7.05%
1881/1882  19,244,000 -8.95% 11,826,000 0.03% 3,396,000 -0.01%
change 1872 - 1882 19.51% 8.44% -19.09%
1885/86  22,105,000 14.87% 12,655,000 7.01% 2,879,000 -15.22%
1890/91  29,374,000 32.88% 14,427,000 14.00% 3,508,000 21.85%
1891/92  29,695,000 1.09% 14,490,000 0.44% 3,454,000 -1.54%
change 1882 - 1892 54.31% 22.53% 1.71%
1892/93  30,186,000 1.65% 15,104,000 4.24% 3,749,000 8.54%
1893/94  31,290,000 3.66% 15,025,000 -0.52% 3,478,000 -7.23%
1894/95  30,916,000 -1.20% 15,186,000 1.07% 3,493,000 0.43%
1895/96  34,337,000 11.07% 16,034,000 5.58% 3,885,000 11.22%
1896/97  34,904,000 1.65% 16,206,000 1.07% 3,796,000 -2.29%
1897/98  37,707,000 8.03% 16,982,000 4.79% 4,100,000 8.01%
1898/99  38,465,000 2.01% 17,455,000 2.79% 4,069,000 -0.76%
1899/1900  39,320,000 2.22% 17,739,000 1.63% 4,128,000 1.45%
change 1892 - 1900 32.41% 22.42% 19.51%
change 1882 - 1900 104.32% 50.00% 21.55%
change 1872 - 1900 144.19% 62.66% -1.65%
Source:
Jahresbericht über die Leistungen der chemischen Technologie 1882, 1883, page 871.
https://archive.org/stream/jahresberichtbe02gottgoog#page/n900/mode/2up


Change in Beer production in the German customs area 1872 - 1881
Year Baden Alsace-Lorraine Total
hl % change hl % change hl % change
1872 926,957 812,454 32,944,700
1873 1,094,634 18.09% 987,752 21.58% 36,988,553 12.27%
1874 1,133,865 3.58% 889,191 -9.98% 38,193,874 3.26%
1875 1,066,661 -5.93% 763,313 -14.16% 38,935,530 1.94%
1876 1,050,841 -1.48% 706,694 -7.42% 38,857,073 -0.20%
1877/78 1,098,500 4.54% 803,136 13.65% 38,269,023 -1.51%
1878/79 1,085,020 -1.23% 787,905 -1.90% 37,434,638 -2.18%
1879/80 1,085,655 0.06% 788,542 0.08% 37,183,976 -0.67%
1880/81 1,155,450 6.43% 982,659 24.62% 38,492,347 3.52%
1881/1882  1,155,000 -0.04% 932,000 -5.16% 36,663,000 -4.75%
change 1872 - 1882 24.60% 14.71% 11.29%
1885/86  1,244,000 7.71% 691,000 -25.86% 39,822,000 8.62%
1890/91  1,679,000 34.97% 837,000 21.13% 49,925,000 25.37%
1891/92  1,643,000 -2.14% 875,000 4.54% 50,268,000 0.69%
change 1882 - 1892 42.25% -6.12% 37.11%
1892/93  1,714,000 4.32% 912,000 4.23% 51,795,000 3.04%
1893/94  1,710,000 -0.23% 907,000 -0.55% 52,528,000 1.42%
1894/95  1,728,000 1.05% 869,000 -4.19% 52,311,000 -0.41%
1895/96  1,914,000 10.76% 997,000 14.73% 57,299,000 9.54%
1896/97  2,192,000 14.52% 937,000 -6.02% 48,169,000 -15.93%
1897/98  2,741,000 25.05% 964,000 2.88% 62,649,000 30.06%
1898/99  2,947,000 7.52% 1,058,000 9.75% 64,164,000 2.42%
1899/1900  3,095,000 5.02% 1,128,000 6.62% 65,621,000 2.27%
change 1892 - 1900 88.37% 28.91% 30.54%
change 1882 - 1900 167.97% 21.03% 78.98%
change 1872 - 1900 233.89% 38.84% 99.19%
Source:
Jahresbericht über die Leistungen der chemischen Technologie 1882, 1883, page 871.
https://archive.org/stream/jahresberichtbe02gottgoog#page/n900/mode/2up

Must be pretty obvious what's important. Don't disappoint me by asking questions.

OK, I'll tell you a bit. In the whole Empire beer production almost exactly dubbled between 1882 1872 and 1900. But the vast majority of that growthcame after 1882. But that growth was very unevenly distributed. The Reichssteuergebiet was a  big winner with growth 45 points above the average for the Empire.

Biggest loser was Württemberg, where output actually fell. While neighbouring Baden saw massive growth, especially after 1890 and was clsoing in on Württemberg. Bayern also lost ground, with growth 36 points below average.

My conclusions? A shift in the focus of German brewing from the South to the North. But also a period of general quite rapid growth of beer output.

Tuesday, 12 August 2014

Austrian beer output by º Balling in 1888 (part three)

I realise I've been ever more number-obsessed than usual recently. Must be the warm weather.

We're looking at a final set of three Austro-Hungarian provinces: Galicia, Silesia and Hungary and Siebenbergen, Funnily enough, these are also contiguous territories, amking up the bulk of the northeast of the Empire. But very different from each other in many ways. Galicia was predominantly Polish and Ukrainian speaking, Silesia was a mix of Germans and Czechs, while in Hungary and Siebenbergen Hungarian, Roumanian and Slovak were spoken, with odd clumps of German speakers scattered around.

So it shouldn't come as a shock that the gravity of the beer these provinces brewed was also diverse. But first some general comments. The three provinces combined produced 1,505,278 hl of beer, or 11.5% of the total for the Empire. Pretty pathetic when you realsie that between them they were home to 23.7 of the 40 million people living in the Empire in 1888. That's about 70%.

This table shows just how pathetically small beer output was per head. Apart from tiny Silesia:

Beer output per head of population in 1888
Province population beer output litres/head
Hungary 16,781,800 490,831 2.92
Galicia 6,370,800 708,373 11.12
Silesia 590,500 306,074 51.83
Empire 40,066,600 13,142,429 32.80
Source:
http://www.populstat.info/

Here's the proper table:

Austrian Beer output by º Balling in 1888 (hl)
º Balling Galicia % Silesia % Hungary and Siebenbergen % Total %
6 0 0 0 2,233 0.02%
7 0 0 0 54 0.000%
8 0 0 0 0 0.00%
9 40,856 5.77% 3,517 1.15% 108 0.02% 278,431 2.12%
10 262,745 37.09% 81,168 26.52% 31,698 6.46% 7,226,651 54.99%
11 240,066 33.89% 172,436 56.34% 36,259 7.39% 1,924,339 14.64%
12 147,901 20.88% 35,162 11.49% 143,647 29.27% 2,126,679 16.18%
13 13,191 1.86% 12,723 4.16% 228,490 46.55% 1,173,621 8.93%
14 627 0.09% 362 0.12% 56,419 11.49% 254,212 1.93%
15 524 0.07% 66 0.02% 3,014 0.61% 148,318 1.13%
16 405 0.06% 460 0.15% 196 0.04% 4,973 0.04%
17 1,197 0.17% 0 0 1,497 0.01%
18 189 0.027% 180 0.059% 0 441 0.003%
19 0 0 0 200 0.002%
20 624 0.09% 0 0 732 0.01%
22 48 0.01% 0 0 48 0.00%
total 708,373 5.39% 306,074 2.33% 490,831 3.73% 13,142,429
active breweries 174 8.96% 44 2.27% 88 4.53% 1942
inactive breweries 6 2.07% 9 3.10% 30 10.34% 290
average output per brewery 4,071 6,956 5,578 6,767

Starting with Galicia, here 10º is the most popular strength accounting for 37% of production. 11º follows closely on 34%, then 12º on 21%. In Silesia 11º is first with a 56% share, followed by 10º on 27% and 12º on 11%. Hungary is the oddest looking, with 13º having a 47% share, 12º 29% and 14º on 11%. Unsurprisingly, Silesia shows similar preferences to Bohemia and Moravia, provinces which share a modern country, the Czech Republic, with it. Not sure what to make of Galicia. Hungary just liked stronger beer.

Here's the final table, grouping the gravities together to match (approximately) Schankbier, Lagerbier, Märzen/Export and Bock.

º Balling Galicia % Silesia % Hungary and Siebenbergen %
6 to 10 303,601 42.86% 84,685 27.67% 31,806 6.48%
11 to 12 387,967 54.77% 207,598 67.83% 179,906 36.65%
13 to 15 14,342 2.02% 13,151 4.30% 287,923 58.66%
16 to 22 2,463 0.348% 640 0.21% 196 0.04%

What does it tell us? That Galicia produced a large percentage of the Empire's Bock. Otherwise they liked Schankbier and Lagerbier. It was a similar story in Silesia, with 95% of output in those two classes, but with a somewhat larger preference for the latter than Galicia. Whereas in Hungary Märzen/Export was far and away the most popular with Lagerbier a long way behind.

I'm still not quite done with my Austro-Hungarian number-wrangling. Bet you're glad to hear that.